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By AJ Fabino
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Analysts are saying that Virgin Galactic could hit 2.01 dollars by 2030, a projection that has many investors wondering whether SPCE is a long-shot moonshot or a deep-value speculative opportunity. If you're bullish on Virgin Galactic and want a low-cost way to invest, SoFi lets you trade Virgin Galactic stock with no commissions, and new users who fund their account can receive up to 1,000 dollars in stock. Investors who transfer their portfolio to SoFi and keep their assets there through December 31, 2025, can also earn a 1 percent bonus, offering an attractive incentive for new SPCE investors.
Virgin Galactic (NYSE:SPCE) is one of the earliest companies built around the idea of private space travel, aiming to send tourists beyond Earth at a frequency and scale the world has never seen. As a leader in a futuristic but unproven sector, the company could generate enormous returns if space tourism becomes mainstream. However, with limited commercialization and persistent losses, the stock remains highly speculative. Wall Street analysts are split, with wide-ranging opinions about its long-term viability.
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Below, we'll examine Virgin Galactic's latest share performance, current analyst sentiment, long-term price projections and the core factors influencing SPCE's future outlook.
Market Cap: 218.67 million dollars
Trailing P/E Ratio: N/A
Forward P/E Ratio: N/A
1-Year Return: –48 percent
2025 YTD: –43 percent
Virgin Galactic trades around 3.50 dollars per share as of November 2025, with the stock losing nearly half its value year-to-date as investors continue questioning whether the company can unlock meaningful revenue from commercial spaceflight. Its P/S ratio has soared to 74.74 — not because the stock is rising, but because revenue has contracted sharply in recent quarters. That figure is far above the already-elevated 11.41 P/S ratio recorded in September 2024, underscoring the company's deteriorating fundamentals.
Despite its challenges, Virgin Galactic operates in a space tourism industry that could grow rapidly if consumer demand materializes. Grand View Research projects that the global space tourism market could maintain a 44.8 percent compound annual growth rate through 2030. Yet actual investor sentiment remains cautious. The company generated only 0.4 million dollars in revenue during Q2, and although commercial services targeted for 2026 could provide a breakthrough, demand for paid space travel is still uncertain. Meanwhile, Virgin Galactic continues to burn through large amounts of cash, reporting a 67 million dollar net loss in Q2.
SPCE currently holds a consensus Hold rating, with an average price target of 6.75 dollars based on 12 analysts. Forecasts vary dramatically — from a high of 36 dollars (Goldman Sachs) to a low of 0.75 dollars (Wells Fargo). The three most recent ratings from Susquehanna, Bernstein and Goldman Sachs suggest a near-term average target of 3 dollars, implying a 13.29 percent downside from current levels.
Year | Bullish Prediction | Average Prediction | Bearish Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 3.43 | 3.34 | 3.28 |
2026 | 3.27 | 3.01 | 2.87 |
2027 | 2.99 | 2.87 | 2.79 |
2028 | 3.19 | 2.91 | 2.76 |
2029 | 3 | 2.83 | 2.19 |
2030 | 2.11 | 1.12 | 0.54 |
2031 | 1.02 | 0.57 | 0.23 |
2032 | 1.85 | 0.72 | 0.11 |
2033 | 1.08 | 0.58 | 0.4 |
2040 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0 |
2050 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
These projections come from CoinCodex and use long-term volatility models and historical pricing trends to estimate future performance.
Virgin Galactic's bull case is driven by its potential first-mover advantage in a sector that could become massively lucrative. The company's EV/Assets ratio of 0.15 places it in the top tier of its industry, indicating an attractive valuation relative to its assets. If the space tourism industry experiences the explosive growth some analysts anticipate, Virgin Galactic could stand at the center of a new consumer market with enormous revenue potential. Its quick ratio of 3.38, also ranking in the top 10 percent of its industry, suggests the company still has enough liquidity to support operations while it works toward commercialization. Under an optimistic scenario where demand for private space travel rises sharply, SPCE could transform into one of the decade's most unexpected winners.
The bear case focuses on steep operational challenges and extreme financial risk. Virgin Galactic faces intense competition from much larger and better-funded rivals like Blue Origin and SpaceX, both of which have made significantly more progress in reusable rocket technology. The company burned through 64 million dollars in cash during Q2 alone, contributing to a staggering net profit margin of –17,828.03 percent. Its return on equity sits at –114.94 percent, among the worst in its industry. Bears warn that unless commercialization succeeds soon, Virgin Galactic may need to raise capital through further dilution, weaken its financial standing or risk insolvency. Combined with uncertain market demand for space travel, these factors create a substantial downside scenario.
Bullish Prediction: 3.43 dollars
Average Prediction: 3.34 dollars
Bearish Prediction: 3.28 dollars
CoinCodex expects continued downside for SPCE in 2025. With commercialization still years away and investor optimism cooling, many analysts believe the stock may continue its downward trend in the near term.
Bullish Prediction: 3.27 dollars
Average Prediction: 3.01 dollars
Bearish Prediction: 2.87 dollars
The 2026 forecast suggests further weakness, projecting a roughly 16 percent decline from current levels. While 2026 is the year Virgin Galactic intends to launch commercial services, the projections indicate that reception may be more subdued than bulls anticipate.
Bullish Prediction: 2.11 dollars
Average Prediction: 1.12 dollars
Bearish Prediction: 0.54 dollars
Long-term projections assume modest demand for space tourism through 2030. Bears expect the industry to remain niche, limiting Virgin Galactic's ability to scale. However, a dramatically successful commercialization phase could reverse this expectation, especially if the company can compete effectively against other spaceflight innovators.
Virgin Galactic is among the most speculative stocks in the market. While the upside could be extraordinary if space tourism becomes mainstream and Virgin Galactic secures a leadership role, ongoing losses, minimal revenue and unproven demand make it a high-risk investment. Investors must consider key risks: limited commercialization progress, potential insolvency, competition from better-funded rivals and the possibility of share dilution if cash burn continues.
The company's plan to launch commercial services in 2026 could shift market sentiment if successful. A strong launch could accelerate revenue growth and improve the company's financial trajectory. However, investors should balance that potential with the significant risks still facing the business.
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This article originally appeared on Benzinga.com