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By Laura Bratton
Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG) stock dipped 1% during premarket hours Thursday as the tech giant's 2026 capital expenditure forecast soared past analyst expectations.
In its fourth quarter earnings report, Google parent company Alphabet forecast 2026 capital expenditures of $180 billion at the midpoint, well above the $119.5 billion projected by analysts tracked by Bloomberg. That would be roughly double the $91 billion Alphabet saw in capex in 2025, which the company said it spent on servers and data center infrastructure to power AI.
Investors have been concerned about whether the billions of dollars in AI investments that Big Tech hyperscalers are making will pay off. Alphabet stock pared losses to trade down more than 2% Wednesday evening.
Alphabet CFO Anat Ashkenazi said on a call with analysts following the company's earnings release that the higher 2026 spending would go toward AI computing infrastructure as the company looks to develop frontier AI models and meet demand for its Cloud and Services segments.
"The investments that we've made in AI — it's already delivering results across the business," said Ashkenazi. The executive pointed to growth in Google Cloud driven by demand for its AI products. The segment saw fourth quarter revenue spike 48% from the previous year to $17.7 billion, more than the $16.2 billion expected by analysts.
Read more: Live coverage of corporate earnings
Ashkenazi said Alphabet will make its 2026 investments "in a way that maintains a very healthy financial position for the organization."
Overall, the company's fourth quarter financial results beat Wall Street's estimates on the top and bottom lines. Fourth quarter revenue climbed 18% to $113.8 billion from the year-ago period, ahead of the $111.4 billion expected by analysts. The tech giant's earnings per share rose to $2.82 from $2.15 in the previous year, also higher than the $2.65 projected.
Google Services — the segment including ad revenue from Search and YouTube, which accounts for the majority of Alphabet's revenue — saw revenue climb a more modest 14% from the previous year to $95.9 billion, higher than the projected $94.9 billion, per Bloomberg consensus estimates. Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai on the post-earnings conference call pointed to AI driving Search revenue as users engage with Google's tool, AI mode.
Alphabet stock had soared more than 20% since its last earnings report showed the tech giant beginning to benefit from a slew of AI deals with Meta (META), Anthropic (ANTH.PVT), and OpenAI (OPAI.PVT) involving its Cloud segment. At the same time, the broader "Magnificent Seven" group of Big Tech stocks has been collectively down nearly 5% over that period, led by a 23% drop in Microsoft (MSFT) shares.
The release of Google's Gemini 3 AI model — which outperformed competing models on benchmark tests and prompted rival OpenAI to declare a "code red" — as well as the announcement of a landmark deal with Apple, cemented Alphabet's position as an AI winner and pushed the stock higher.
"The launch of Gemini 3 was a major milestone and we have great momentum," Pichai said. He noted that the Gemini app now has more than 750 million monthly active users.
RBC Capital Markets analyst Brad Erickson said in a note to clients Wednesday that the momentum in the Gemini app and spike in fourth quarter Google Cloud revenue were "plenty good as proof points which warrant the higher spend" by Alphabet in 2026.
Google offices in Mountain View, Calif. (Reuters/Manuel Orbegozo) Correction: A previous version of this story misstated Alphabet's Q4 capex. The company had $27.9 billion in capital expenditures during the period.
Laura Bratton is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Bluesky @laurabratton.bsky.social. Email her at laura.bratton@yahooinc.com.