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Rivian surges on delivery guidance, R2 on track for Q2 launch, CEO says 'key inflection' reached.

companies :: 12hrs ago :: source - yahoo finance

By Pras Subramanian

Rivian (RIVN) reported better-than-expected fourth quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday as the pure-play EV maker ramps up for the release of its R2 vehicle, which the company said is on track for the second quarter of this year.

For the quarter, Rivian reported revenue of $1.286 billion versus $1.26 billion, per Bloomberg consensus estimates, down around 27% from a year ago. Rivian attributed the revenue declines to the loss of regulatory emissions credit sales, the expiration of the federal EV tax credit, and lower average selling prices.

The company posted an adjusted loss per share of $0.59 versus $0.69 expected, with an adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) loss of $465 million versus $568.2 million expected.

Rivian stock surged over 18% before the bell on Friday.

Read more: Live coverage of corporate earnings

Crucially, the company said its upcoming R2 midsize vehicle is targeting customer deliveries for the second quarter, after early manufacturing validation builds rolled off the assembly line in January.

"This is for us a really key inflection here, where we're going to demonstrate the long term profitability of the business with R2, such an important program for us in terms of adding scale to business," CEO RJ Scaringe said in an interview with Yahoo Finance.

And for a second quarter in a row, the company posted a gross profit of $120 million, broken down between a loss of $59 million for the automotive segment and a $179 million gain from software and services. Rivian said the jump in software and services profit is due to "vehicle architecture and software development services" stemming from its joint venture with Volkswagen (VOW3.DE).

The Rivian R2 equipped with the latest hardware and Rivian's Autonomy Platform software. Rivian

For the year, Rivian's adjusted EBITDA loss came in at $2.063 billion, wider than estimates of $1.8 billion but within the company's forecast. Capital expenditures for the year hit $1.710 billion, versus estimates of $2.05 billion.

Cash and cash equivalents tallied $6.082 billion at the end of the fourth quarter, around $1 billion less than last quarter. Rivian said it had $6.588 million in total liquidity — crucial as it ramps up R2 production.

"We will be opportunistic with regards to additional capital raises," Scaringe said, adding that Rivian anticipates another $2 billion in cash and debt from its joint venture with Volkswagen this year.

In terms of guidance, the company expects vehicle deliveries for 2026 in a range of 62,000 to 67,000 units, meeting Wall Street estimates of around 63,400 units and suggesting the upcoming R2 will boost sales.

R2's ramp up is not without risks, however.

"The biggest risk in our ramp up, and what we've experienced in the past, and built some skills around managing, is just the complexities of ramping a supply chain, some of the unknowns within the supply chain, and that can be as specific as memory or chip set, or it could be as broad as aluminum supply," Scaringe said.

That being said, Rivian sees its adjusted EBITDA loss for 2026 in a range of $1.80 billion to $2.10 billion versus a loss of $1.8 billion expected, with capital expenditures of $1.95 billion to $2.05 billion, meeting estimates of $2.05 billion.

Last month, Rivian said it produced 10,974 vehicles at its manufacturing facility in Normal, Ill., and delivered 9,745 vehicles in Q4, with full-year tallies of 42,284 vehicles produced and 42,247 vehicles delivered, reaching the midpoint of its guidance range of 41,500 to 43,500 vehicles delivered. However, Rivian’s original 2025 delivery target was between 46,000 and 51,000.

As part of the R2 product initiative, the company plans to amp up its AI and tech development, which investors are keen to hear more about.

Rivian's Universal Hands-Free assisted driving software in action. Rivian

Last December, the company said software advancements from its new Autonomy platform and Large Driving Model (LDM), an autonomous model trained similarly to a large language model (LLM), will expand its Universal Hands-Free assisted driving to second-gen R1 vehicles, covering 3.5 million miles in the US.

Later this year, a point-to-point hands-free system will be released, followed by a hands-free and eyes-free self-driving product, with the ultimate goal of achieving "personal Level 4" autonomy, meaning the vehicle will be able to drive fully on its own without requiring the driver's attention.

"We realized we wanted to do a clean-sheet approach to our Autonomy platform, and so we started the process on that, and that involved developing a camera platform, so a perception platform, redesigning the compute platform, and really architecting the whole system around an AI-centric approach, where the vehicles that are on the road are part of a large data flywheel, where we're collecting data and using that data to train the models," Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe told Yahoo Finance at the December event in Palo Alto, Calif.

Part of the company's AI-centric approach is to make its own chip, known as the Rivian Autonomy Processor, which will power Rivian EVs' self-driving capabilities. Previously, the company used Nvidia's (NVDA) Orin chip in its self-driving computer module.

Pras Subramanian is Lead Auto Reporter for Yahoo Finance. You can follow him on X and on Instagram.

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