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By Mitchell Ferman
(Bloomberg) -- Shell Plc reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter earnings as the Iran war boosted trading profits and drove up energy prices, helping it to overcome a drop in oil and gas production from the conflict.
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Adjusted net income rose to $6.92 billion, the London-based oil major said in a statement. That beat the $6.1 billion median estimate of analysts compiled by Bloomberg, as surging oil and gas prices lifted returns.
Shell, which recently announced the acquisition of Canadian oil and gas producer ARC Resources Ltd. — its biggest transaction under the tenure of Chief Executive Officer Wael Sawan — cut its quarterly share buyback and raised its dividend. The shares fell, though the move was in line with that of European peers as optimism about an end to the Iranian conflict pushed down oil prices.
The war has damaged assets, roiled energy markets and choked off energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz and caused sharp price wings — conditions that normally favor larger commodity merchants. Vitol Group and Trafigura Group, the biggest independent oil traders, reaped a profit bonanza in the first three months of this year. Shell said its trading profits were boosted by the conflict, helping it to overcome a 10% hit to oil and gas production caused by disruptions in Qatar.
Total production fell about 4% from the prior period. The impact is set to linger, with second-quarter volumes expected to decline further amid continued constrains in the region and overall maintenance across Shell’s portfolio.
The ARC acquisition is contributing to a rise in capital spending plans this year and part of a broader effort to deepen its upstream reserves as geopolitical turmoil reshapes global energy flows. The buyback was cut to $3 billion from $3.5 billion. Shell increased its dividend 5%, maintaining its policy of distributing 40% to 50% of cash flow from operations to shareholders.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysts said the reallocation of capital was “value-led” and showed Shell’s confidence in its overall strategy, including the ARC acquisition.
Higher refining margins also supported quarterly results, even with a weaker chemicals margin environment.
Brent oil prices have increased more than 50% since the conflict began at the end of February. They retreated from war-time highs and hovered around $99 a barrel Thursday on signs that the US and Iran are nearing a diplomatic breakthrough.
Shell is the final oil supermajor to report quarterly earnings. Profits for BP Plc and TotalEnergies SE also rose on the back of strong trading performances during the war.
US peers Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp. also benefited from elevated oil and gas prices, but experienced production outages — particularly Exxon — and negative impacts from derivatives positions.
Looking ahead, Shell now plans to spend between $24 billion and $26 billion this year, higher than the previously guided range of $20 billion to $22 billion. Shell said that increase includes about $4 billion related to the ARC acquisition.
(Updates details and context from third paragraph.)
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