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By Jared Blikre
The tech trade isn’t just leading the market. It’s swallowing the ETF tape.
Since the S&P 500’s March 30 low, technology ETFs have dominated sector flows, leaving most other sectors fighting over scraps. For investors trying to diversify after another tech-led surge, the first challenge is simple: making sure their “diversifier” is not just tech in another wrapper.
That’s harder than it sounds.
Strategas ETF strategist Todd Sohn — the ETF whisperer — flagged that tech has pulled in the bulk of sector ETF flows since the market’s spring low, while cumulative flows to all other sectors were slightly negative as of the firm’s latest tally.
Cumulative sector ETF flows since March 30 S&P 500 low. Strategas ETF Research, Yahoo FinanceThe crowding also shows up under the hood.
Tech now makes up more than half of the Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQM) and iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF), which is not exactly shocking.
But Sohn’s work also shows plenty of tech hiding in factor funds, which group stocks by traits like momentum, value, quality, or low volatility rather than by sector.
The surprise is the iShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF (VLUE), which is nearly half tech — a strange look for a fund built around value stocks. The iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) is nearly half tech too, while the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) is north of one-third. Meanwhile, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) is over 40% tech.
In other words, investors may own more technology exposure than they think — even when they are not buying a tech ETF.
Diversification route / | What it gives investors | Main catch |
|---|---|---|
Less direct tech exposure | Can lag when growth is leading | |
More exposure to travel, leisure, and consumer spending | Needs the consumer trade to turn | |
Yield with low volatility | No equity upside if stocks keep running |
The alternatives are not exactly glamorous.
Sohn’s low-tech, low-correlation screen points investors toward dividend, value, and low-volatility funds. These include the Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF (SPLV), First Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund (FDL), iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HDV), ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL), and Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF (RPV).
The more interesting trade may be consumer discretionary, which has been left behind. Strategas found the equal-weight consumer discretionary sector’s six-month relative performance is in its bottom decile versus the past 20 years.
Sohn prefers the Invesco Leisure and Entertainment ETF (PEJ) as a way to play a consumer rebound. It leans more directly into travel, leisure, hotels, cruises, and entertainment than the traditional discretionary ETF, which is heavily influenced by Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA).
Short-term Treasury ETFs are another escape hatch.
They don’t offer stock-market upside, but in a world where cash-like funds still offer yield with low volatility, they give investors a way to step away from the tech chase without reaching for another crowded theme.
Jared Blikre is the global markets and data editor for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X at @SPYJared or email him at jaredblikre@yahooinc.com.