By Rick Munarriz
Nvidia (NVDA)
is capping off another successful quarter of trading. The global leader
in artificial intelligence (AI) is trading 12% higher heading into the
final trading day of the calendar quarter.
But June has been a bust. Nvidia is trading 8% lower in this
otherwise resilient month for the markets. Market leadership has shifted
from the initial AI leaders to beneficiaries like memory and data
storage manufacturers. The upticks there have been driven by demand
outstripping supply, resulting in surging prices and thick margins for a
historically cyclical industry.
Could this also be an opportunity for existing or potential Nvidia
investors? Let's go over some of the reasons why the stock with the
largest market cap can bounce back in July.
Image source: Getty Images.
1. Nvidia doesn't lose the headline war forever
Don't let June's slide dissuade you. Nvidia stock
has continued to be a winner over longer stretches of time. The 5%
year-to-date return is trailing the market, but zoom out, and you'll see
the stock is up 24% over the past year, more than quadrupling over the
three years and almost a 10-bagger over the past five years.
Some of the June headlines are unflattering but potentially misleading:
Nvidia seems to be fighting upstream in the headwind headline war. It won't always be that way. Remember when Nvidia stock was rattled in early 2025
by reports that China's DeepSeek was achieving major AI advancements on
older, less powerful chips? That ultimately didn't slow Nvidia down.
2. This is still a great growth stock
Nvidia doesn't report its financials again until late August. It
operates on a different fiscal calendar than many tech titans, which
report in the latter half of July.
It's still delivering strong results. Revenue soared 85% in its latest financial report. Margins continue to improve, with adjusted earnings blasting 139% higher.
Nvidia is doing this even amid a sharp reversal in its sales in
China, rising competition, and percolating supply chain constraints. The
company continues to deliver market-thumping results on a stunning
55.7% adjusted net margin. History is a long game, but Nvidia continues
to win the quarterly chapters.
3. The stock is even cheaper than you think
Nvidia stock is moving lower in June. Expectations are going the
other way. Analysts see Nvidia earning $8.97 per share this fiscal year
and $12.76 per share in the new fiscal 2028 year, which starts in late
January of next year.
A month ago, those per-share adjusted net income targets stood at
$8.95 and $12.66, respectively. Three months ago, those adjusted
per-share earnings estimates stood at $8.30 and $11.11, respectively.
As an investor, it's important to recognize moments when market
sentiment diverges from fundamentals. If the future is getting cloudy or
showing signs of deterioration, that's a fair time to get cautious. But
when the outlook is only getting better, that's often a buying
opportunity.
How expensive do you think Nvidia is these days? I'll spare you the
suspense of overestimating the numbers. Based on Monday's close of
$194.97, the world's most valuable company by market cap is trading for
less than 22 times this year's earnings. Step up to the new fiscal year
that starts in seven months, and Nvidia is fetching just 15 times Wall
Street's profit target for that year.
There's no denying that Nvidia's competitors
are getting smarter, and that institutional rotation has shifted from
the wearer of the AI coat to the coattails. Nvidia is still trading at a
discount to many tech players that are growing more slowly and have yet
to prove their AI resilience. Don't let the rough June get in the way
of Nvidia's potential to heat up this summer.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again
In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. If you’d invested $5,000 then, you’d be sitting on $2,531,577 today.*
Now, for the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is
flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. It’s a key player in
the $1.8 trillion space race, and with the stock recently sitting 20%
off its highs, the window to get in early is closing fast.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of July 1, 2026.
Rick Munarriz has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
This story originally appeared on The Motley Fool