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By Jake Conley
Netflix (NFLX) stock fell over 9% in premarket trading after the company's third quarter outlook fell short of expectations and engagement trends failed to inspire confidence on the Street.
The streaming giant reported earnings that beat estimates and revenue that was roughly in line with forecasts in Q2. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year to $12.56 billion, slightly underperforming Bloomberg consensus estimates of $12.58 billion. Revenue growth also moderated from 16.2% in the first quarter of this year.
Earnings per share came in at $0.80, slightly beating analyst expectations of $0.79 and coming in above the $0.73 reported a year ago.
Netflix shares are down 40% over the past 12 months, and the company acknowledged that "the entertainment industry remains dynamic and competitive."
"We aim to stay ahead by executing against our three areas of focus: delivering more entertainment value, leveraging technology to improve every aspect of our service, and improving monetization," management stated.
Netflix guided revenue for the current quarter at $12.86 billion, against Wall Street's expectation of $13 billion. The company sees earnings per share for the third quarter at $0.82, compared to analyst estimates of $0.84.
For full-year 2026, Netflix expects revenue of $51 billion to 51.4 billion, roughly in line with its previously forecast range of $50.7 billion to $51.7 billion.
Broken down regionally, Netflix's US and Canada market, its biggest by a wide margin as measured by revenue, recorded year-over-year growth of 10% in the second quarter, underperforming the segment's growth over the last four quarters. Out of its regional segments, only Latin America saw growth accelerate from the prior quarter.
"There is definitely some kind of slowdown, and I'm not necessarily sure management has articulated what they can do to reinvigorate the business here," Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence senior media analyst, told Yahoo Finance.
"All around, there's really nothing here to get excited about," Ranganathan said.
View hours, a crucial metric for streamers such as Netflix, crossed 97 billion in the first half — a record for the company. The figure represents 2% growth in the first half of 2026, versus growth of 1.5% in 2025, "despite the competitive impact of the Winter Olympics and the World Cup this year," the company said.
Asked by analysts about the rate of change in viewer hours, Netflix co-CEO Greg Peters said, "Not all hours are created equal," citing live events as one example. Live events programming drives revenue and provides strong opportunities for viewer acquisition, Peters said, but yields fewer raw hours.
Live events programming is expected to account for 5% of Netflix's 2026 content budget while making up 1% of view hours, Peters added.
Netflix announced Thursday that, instead of publishing detailed viewership metrics with its earnings disclosures, the company will publish them annually in the first quarter, beginning in 2027. The decision is driven by a desire to "keep the focus on our primary financial metrics," management said.
Ted Sarandos, Co-CEO, Netflix, Will Ferrell, and Molly Shannon attend
the Los Angeles premiere of Netflix's "The Hawk" at Directors Village,
Westwood on July 09, 2026, in Los Angeles. (Frazer Harrison/WireImage)Netflix will be looking for its upcoming short-form content model to help bring in more viewers and keep them on the platform longer, adopting a strategy battle-tested by major social media platforms. Beginning on Aug. 3, Netflix will be running short-form content from publishers such as Buzzfeed Studios, Condé Nast, Hearst, and Penske Media.
The streaming giant has faced consistent questions over whether it would begin offering a free tier. While such a free offering could make sense in some markets and is something "we're going to continue to consider," co-CEO Greg Peters said, "we have no near-term plans to launch something."
"I believe that we are delivering one of the best entertainment values that has ever existed," Peters added, specifically citing Netflix's $8.99-per-month US tier.
Netflix has also faced questions over viewership drop-offs between first and second seasons. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos said Thursday that while they often see drop-off, the company attributes those shifts to the efforts Netflix puts into promoting first seasons of new shows.
In its ad business, Netflix remains on track to deliver $3 billion in ad revenue for 2026, the company said Thursday, as the streaming giant has doubled down on its cheaper tier offering. The company noted "strong interest" from advertisers in its live events slate, including the Women's World Cup, football and baseball programming, and wrestling matches.
The streaming giant believes it has penetrated fewer than 45% of total addressable households and is capturing only 5% of TV viewing share globally, and that those figures give Netflix significant room to grow, CFO Spencer Neumann said to analysts on Thursday.
On a down note for the company, both net cash from operating activities and free cash flow fell year on year, with free cash flow declining to $1.5 billion from $2.3 billion. Accounting for a chunk of the drop in cash flow were "higher cash tax payments due in part" to the $2.8 billion breakup fee Paramount Skydance paid to Netflix after Paramount won the bid for Warner Bros. Discovery.
The decision to back out of the bidding war for the film studio and cede the purchase to David Ellison's Paramount Skydance (PSKY) continues to hang over Netflix's head.
Netflix also touted its use of generative AI throughout the streamer's creative work. "GenAI workflows" have been used in roughly 300 of Netflix's titles so far in 2026, per the release, primarily concentrated in postproduction work.
The tools have been used to produce hard-to-make scenes featuring large crowds, battle sequences, and "worldbuilding establishing shots," the company said, noting that without generative AI, those scenes might not have been included.
"We believe it takes great artists to make something great, and AI is not changing that," Sarandos said. "AI will give creators better tools to bring their visions to life."
Jake Conley is a breaking news reporter covering US equities for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X at @byjakeconley or email him at jake.conley@yahooinc.com.
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