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By David Moadel
CFRA raised Meta Platforms (META) to Strong Buy, citing accelerating AI execution driven by new product launches, while the stock trades 21% below consensus price target despite core advertising revenue growing 24% year-over-year.
Meta’s AI infrastructure bet is moving from promise to execution, with the company guiding for $115-135 billion in capex for 2026.
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© Fritz Jorgensen / iStock Editorial via Getty Images
Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META | META Price Prediction) stock just got a vote of confidence from CFRA, which raised its rating to Strong Buy. The upgrade arrives as Meta’s AI turnaround story moves from promise to execution, with product launches and infrastructure spending that’s hard to ignore. For long-term investors, the real question is whether the market has already priced in Meta’s AI buildout.
Meta shares traded at $628.39 as of April 9, well off the 52-week high of $794.38 and below the consensus analyst price target of $860.25. That gap is part of what makes CFRA’s call compelling right now.
| Ticker | Company | Firm | Action | Old Rating | New Rating | Old Target | New Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | Meta Platforms | CFRA | Upgrade | N/A | Strong Buy | N/A | N/A |
CFRA’s upgrade centers on Meta’s accelerating AI execution. The firm’s thesis aligns with a company that launched the Muse Spark AI model. Meta spent $72 billion on capital expenditures in 2025 and has guided for $115 to $135 billion in 2026, signaling management is betting the company’s next chapter on AI infrastructure.
The core business backs that bet. Meta Platforms’ Q4 2025 advertising revenue rose 24% year over year, with ad impressions up 18% and average price per ad up 6%. The family of daily active people reached 3.58 billion, up 7% year over year. That’s an audience few advertisers can afford to ignore.
Meta Platforms operates Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, Threads, and Meta Quest. Its full-year 2025 revenue came in at $200.97 billion, up 22% year over year, with Q4 EPS of $8.88 beating the $8.22 estimate. The company also runs Reality Labs, which posted a full-year 2025 operating loss of $19.2 billion, though management expects losses there to gradually decline.
READ: The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks
Meta trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x, a reasonable multiple for a company guiding for operating income above 2025 levels despite massive infrastructure spending. The PEG ratio of 0.9 suggests the market hasn’t fully credited the growth runway. Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg put it directly on the Q4 earnings call: “We are now seeing a major AI acceleration. I expect 2026 to be a year where this wave accelerates even further on several fronts.”
META stock has pulled back 5% year to date even as the underlying business continues to grow, which tends to attract analyst upgrades.
CFRA’s Strong Buy upgrade reflects a view that Meta’s AI investments are transitioning from cost center to competitive advantage. The valuation looks reasonable relative to growth, and the advertising engine continues to compound. That said, risks are real: total costs grew 40% year over year in Q4, long-term debt has risen to $58.7 billion, and EU regulatory headwinds remain unresolved.
Consider Meta Platforms stock if you believe its AI infrastructure spending will translate into durable monetization gains over the next two to three years. If you’re skeptical that the capex will pay off, the near-term margin compression gives you reason to wait. No matter how you slice it, the turnaround story is getting harder to argue with.
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